League Cup · Aug 08, 2023 18:45

Stoke City
PWR 37

West Brom
PWR 30

Stoke City
PWR 37
2 - 1
FT

West Brom
PWR 30
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stoke City to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (29%)
0-1 (25%)
0-2 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense72
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Attack32
Defense53
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.6
Stoke City Form
LLDWD
DOWN
West Brom Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS18%
Under 2.587%
Stoke City Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
West Brom Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Stoke Cityvs
0.89
West BromDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#29
Stoke City-1
Gap#28
West Brom
WR 40% 7 pts
WR 22% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| West Brom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 8 |
Stoke City
8.0%
| Apr 29 | Stoke C… v QPR | 0-1 |
| Apr 15 | Stoke C… v West Br… | 1-2 |
| Apr 10 | Stoke C… v Birming… | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | Stoke C… v Coventry | 0-4 |
| Mar 18 | Stoke C… v Norwich… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Stoke C… v Middles… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stoke C… v Swansea | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Stoke C… v Hull Ci… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Stoke C… v Sheffie… | 3-1 |
| Nov 12 | Stoke C… v West Br… | 2-0 |
West Brom
12.0%
| Jul 18 | West Br… v Tottenh… | 2-3 |
| May 08 | West Br… v Swansea | 3-2 |
| May 07 | West Br… v Manches… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | West Br… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Apr 29 | West Br… v Norwich… | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | West Br… v Sheffie… | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | West Br… v Liverpo… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | West Br… v Sunderl… | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | West Br… v Bournem… | 0-4 |
| Apr 15 | West Br… v Stoke C… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 15, 2023 | Stoke City | 1-2 | West Brom |
| Nov 12, 2022 | West Brom | 2-0 | Stoke City |
| Apr 09, 2022 | West Brom | 1-3 | Stoke City |
| Oct 01, 2021 | Stoke City | 1-0 | West Brom |
Key Factors
West Brom in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.