FA Cup · Feb 06, 2024 19:45
Southampton
PWR 36
Watford
PWR 36
Southampton
PWR 36
3 - 0
FT
Watford
PWR 36
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Southampton to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Below minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Southampton Form
WDLDD
STABLE
Watford Form
LWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS33%
Under 2.573%
Southampton Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Watford Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Southamptonvs
0.65
WatfordDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Southampton-4
Gap#17
Watford
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 30% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| Watford | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 11 |
Southampton
10.0%
| Feb 03 | Southam… v Rotherh… | 0-2 |
| Feb 03 | Southam… v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Southam… v Harroga… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Southam… v Watford | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Southam… v Walsall | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Southam… v Mansfie… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Southam… v Swansea | 1-3 |
| Jan 13 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 13 | Southam… v Barrow | 2-2 |
| Jan 01 | Southam… v Newport… | 1-1 |
Watford
10.0%
| Feb 03 | Watford v Cardiff | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Watford v Wrexham | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Watford v Sheffie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Watford v Sheffie… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Watford v Southam… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Watford v Crewe | 2-3 |
| Jan 23 | Watford v Brentfo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Watford v QPR | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 28, 2024 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Watford | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Southampton |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Southampton | 1-2 | Watford |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Watford | 0-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Watford | 1-3 | Southampton |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.