Championship · Dec 09, 2023 15:00

Watford
PWR 36
1 - 1
FT

Southampton
PWR 36
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Watford to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Watford Form WWWWD
UP
Southampton Form WWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS82%
Under 2.522%
Watford Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Southampton Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Watford
vs
2.84
Southampton
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Watford
+3
Gap
#14
Southampton
WR 50% 44 pts WR 25% 43 pts
Watford 18.0%
Dec 02 Watford v Hull Ci… 1-2
Dec 02 Watford v Hull Ci… 1-2
Nov 28 Watford v Norwich… 3-2
Nov 28 Watford v Norwich… 3-2
Nov 28 Watford v Stockpo… 0-0
Nov 25 Watford v Leicest… 2-0
Nov 25 Watford v Leicest… 2-0
Nov 25 Watford v Milton … 2-4
Nov 25 Watford v Milton … 2-4
Nov 18 Watford v Birming… 3-1
Southampton 14.0%
Dec 02 Southam… v Cardiff 2-0
Nov 29 Southam… v Bristol… 1-0
Nov 28 Southam… v Crewe 1-1
Nov 25 Southam… v Hudders… 1-1
Nov 25 Southam… v Grimsby 1-1
Nov 18 Southam… v Tranmer… 1-1
Nov 11 Southam… v West Br… 2-1
Nov 04 Southam… v Millwall 0-1
Oct 28 Southam… v Birming… 3-1
Oct 21 Southam… v Hull Ci… 1-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Jul 23, 2022 Watford 0-0 Southampton
Mar 13, 2022 Southampton 1-2 Watford
Oct 30, 2021 Watford 0-1 Southampton
Jun 28, 2020 Watford 1-3 Southampton
Key Factors
Watford in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.