AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 20, 2022

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Home
VS
12:00

Erzgebirge AUE

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Erzgebirge AUE Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.54 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 0-0
Feb 19 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 0-1
Jan 15 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 2-1
Oct 30 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 1-0
Sep 11 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 0-0
Jul 31 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 1-2
Apr 21 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 5-0
Mar 19 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 2-3
Jan 27 FC Saarbr… vs Hansa Ros… 4-2
Dec 05 FC Saarbr… vs Waldhof M… 4-1
Erzgebirge AUE Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 Erzgebirg… vs SV Wehen 1-5
Apr 24 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 2-2
Apr 01 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 3-2
Nov 20 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 1-2
Oct 22 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-0
Aug 09 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 2-1
Sep 12 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC SaarbrĂĽcken struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

ELITE: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (90% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 90% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 24
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position

+1

Position Gap

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.