AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 05, 2024

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
01:15

Santa Fe

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Santa Fe Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.82 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Atlético Nacional Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-0
Oct 25 Atlético … vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 19 Atlético … vs Jaguares 1-3
Sep 29 Atlético … vs Chico 6-2
Sep 27 Atlético … vs Junior 2-0
Sep 20 Atlético … vs Alianza P… 2-1
Sep 16 Atlético … vs Alianza P… 1-1
Aug 31 Atlético … vs Jaguares 0-2
Aug 06 Atlético … vs Rionegro … 1-1
Jul 21 Atlético … vs America d… 2-1
Santa Fe Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 Santa Fe vs Chico 3-1
Oct 06 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 0-0
Oct 04 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 30 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 0-0
Sep 26 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 2-0
Sep 22 Santa Fe vs Fortaleza… 1-3
Sep 02 Santa Fe vs Junior 1-1
Aug 28 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 3-1
Aug 21 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-3
Aug 08 Santa Fe vs Bucaraman… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Santa Fe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Santa Fe Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.