AI Match Insights
Primera A Mar 23, 2024
La Equidad FC
HomeVS
01:20
Independiente Medellin
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
La Equidad FC Win
Draw
Independiente Medellin Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
84%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.62 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.2
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
La Equidad FC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16 | La Equida… vs Bucaraman… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | La Equida… vs America d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 0-0 |
| Oct 14 | La Equida… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 25 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 2-0 |
| Aug 27 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 0-0 |
| Aug 06 | La Equida… vs America d… | 1-1 |
| Jul 15 | La Equida… vs Independi… | 2-2 |
| Apr 30 | La Equida… vs Deportivo… | 2-0 |
Independiente Medellin Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Independi… vs Deportes … | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Independi… vs Deportes … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 02 | Independi… vs Junior | 3-0 |
| Jan 28 | Independi… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Independi… vs Millonari… | 5-0 |
| Dec 14 | Independi… vs Junior | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Independi… vs Junior | 3-2 |
| Dec 07 | Independi… vs America d… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Independiente Medel… | 2 - 2 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Feb 16, 2023 | La Equidad FC | 2 - 1 | Independiente Medel… | Primera A |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Independiente Medel… | 1 - 1 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Jun 17, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1 - 5 | Independiente Medel… | Primera A |
| May 21, 2022 | Independiente Medel… | 2 - 0 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Feb 12, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 2 - 0 | Independiente Medel… | Primera A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
La Equidad FC Power
0
Independiente Medellin Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
La Equidad FC Position+12
Position Gap17
Independiente Medellin Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.