Primera A · Jul 15, 2023 21:00
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
Independiente Medellin
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
2-0 (17%)
0-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Independiente … Form
LLLDW
DOWN
La Equidad FC Form
WDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS30%
Under 2.564%
Independien… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
La Equidad … Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Independiente …vs
0.45
La Equidad FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Independien…-16
Gap#1
La Equidad …
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Independiente …
6.0%
| Jun 17 | Indepen… v Millona… | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Indepen… v America… | 0-1 |
| May 29 | Indepen… v America… | 2-0 |
| May 21 | Indepen… v Millona… | 2-2 |
| May 14 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 3-0 |
| Apr 09 | Indepen… v Millona… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Indepen… v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Indepen… v La Equi… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Indepen… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
La Equidad FC
12.0%
| Apr 30 | La Equi… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | La Equi… v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | La Equi… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | La Equi… v America… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | La Equi… v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | La Equi… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Aug 22 | La Equi… v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | La Equi… v America… | 0-0 |
| Aug 05 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 16, 2023 | La Equidad FC | 2-1 | Independiente… |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Independiente… | 1-1 | La Equidad FC |
| Jun 17, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1-5 | Independiente… |
| May 21, 2022 | Independiente… | 2-0 | La Equidad FC |
| Feb 12, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 2-0 | Independiente… |
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.