AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Dec 10, 2023

FC Aarau

Home
VS
13:15

FC WIL 1900

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FC WIL 1900 Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.97 - 1.25
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
FC WIL 1900 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
FC Aarau Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 0-0
Nov 18 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 0-1
Nov 12 FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… 4-0
Oct 22 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 2-2
Oct 08 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 1-2
Oct 07 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 0-0
Sep 30 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-2
Sep 29 FC Aarau vs FC WIL 19… 0-2
Sep 25 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 3-2
Sep 01 FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… 0-2
FC WIL 1900 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 FC WIL 19… vs FC Vaduz 2-2
Nov 10 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 0-0
Sep 29 FC WIL 19… vs FC Aarau 0-2
Sep 26 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 2-0
Sep 15 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Lau… 1-1
Jul 23 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 0-2
May 27 FC WIL 19… vs Yverdon S… 0-2
May 12 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 3-2
Apr 28 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Lau… 1-2
Mar 03 FC WIL 19… vs Yverdon S… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2023 FC WIL 1900 0 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
FC WIL 1900 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC WIL 1900 Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.