Cearense - 1 · Mar 02, 2024 19:40
Iguatu
PWR 35
Ferroviária
PWR 35
Iguatu
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT
Ferroviária
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Iguatu to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 2% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 2%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack41
Defense44
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.6
Iguatu Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Ferroviária Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS22%
Under 2.542%
Iguatu Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Ferroviária Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Iguatuvs
0.25
FerroviáriaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Iguatu+3
Gap#6
Ferroviária
WR 18% 21 pts
WR 17% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iguatu | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 21 |
| Ferroviária | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 15 |
Iguatu
6.0%
| Feb 24 | Iguatu v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Iguatu v Floresta | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Iguatu v Fortale… | 3-1 |
| Mar 18 | Iguatu v Ceará | 2-0 |
| Mar 12 | Iguatu v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Iguatu v Ferrovi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Iguatu v Fortale… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Iguatu v Ceará | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Iguatu v Ceará | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Iguatu v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
Ferroviária
14.0%
| Feb 24 | Ferrovi… v Iguatu | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Ferrovi… v XV de P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Ferrovi… v Uniclin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Ferrovi… v São Ber… | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Ferrovi… v Juventu… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Ferrovi… v Floresta | 1-3 |
| Mar 25 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 19 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 12 | Ferrovi… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ferroviária | 1-0 | Iguatu |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Iguatu | 2-1 | Ferroviária |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Ferroviária | 1-0 | Iguatu |
| Jan 08, 2022 | Iguatu | 1-1 | Ferroviária |
Key Factors
Iguatu struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.