AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Sep 04, 2024

Caracas FC

Home
VS
21:45

Puerto Cabello

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Caracas FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Puerto Cabello Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.25 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caracas FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Puerto Cabello Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Caracas FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Aug 15 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 2-3
Apr 19 Caracas FC vs Carabobo … 1-0
Mar 17 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 2-0
Mar 03 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 0-0
Feb 24 Caracas FC vs Estudiant… 1-1
Jan 26 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 1-1
Nov 25 Caracas FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 08 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 1-0
Oct 25 Caracas FC vs Puerto Ca… 0-0
Puerto Cabello Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 11 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 2-4
Jul 07 Puerto Ca… vs Zamora 0-0
Apr 15 Puerto Ca… vs Metropoli… 2-3
Mar 31 Puerto Ca… vs Monagas SC 2-2
Mar 21 Puerto Ca… vs Zamora 0-0
Mar 17 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 2-0
Jan 27 Puerto Ca… vs Monagas SC 2-2
Jan 26 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 1-1
Nov 08 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 1-0
Oct 25 Puerto Ca… vs Caracas FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caracas FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 17, 2024 Puerto Cabello 2 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Jan 26, 2024 Puerto Cabello 1 - 1 Caracas FC Friendlies Clu…
Nov 08, 2023 Caracas FC 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
Oct 25, 2023 Puerto Cabello 0 - 0 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Jul 09, 2023 Caracas FC 2 - 1 Puerto Cabello Primera Divisi…
May 08, 2023 Puerto Cabello 2 - 1 Caracas FC Primera Divisi…
Mar 08, 2023 Caracas FC 0 - 1 Puerto Cabello CONMEBOL Sudam…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caracas FC Power 0
Puerto Cabello Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Caracas FC Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Puerto Cabello Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.