Rondoniense · Mar 31, 2024 19:30
Paranoá
PWR 36
Genus
PWR 27
PWR 27
2 - 1
FT
Paranoá
PWR 36
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (23%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense41
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.7
Attack25
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.1
Genus Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Paranoá Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS13%
Under 2.582%
Genus Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Paranoá Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Genusvs
0.20
ParanoáDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Genus-2
Gap#5
Paranoá
WR 12% 21 pts
WR 18% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genus | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 21 |
| Paranoá | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 31 | 24 |
Genus
4.0%
| Mar 24 | Genus v União C… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Genus v Porto V… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Genus v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Genus v Paranoá | 1-0 |
| Apr 08 | Genus v União C… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Genus v Jaguaré | 1-3 |
| Mar 25 | Genus v Porto V… | 1-4 |
| Mar 12 | Genus v Rondoni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Genus v Paranoá | 3-0 |
| Mar 27 | Genus v Rondoni… | 3-1 |
Paranoá
14.0%
| Mar 23 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Paranoá v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Paranoá v União C… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Paranoá v Real FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Paranoá v Genus | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Paranoá v Gama | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Paranoá v Capital… | 0-0 |
| May 20 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-0 |
| May 14 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 25, 2024 | Paranoá | 1-0 | Genus |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Paranoá | 3-0 | Genus |
Key Factors
Paranoá in strong form (3W in last 5)
Genus struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.