Rondoniense · Feb 25, 2024 19:30
Paranoá
PWR 36
Paranoá
PWR 36
1 - 0
FT
Genus
PWR 27
PWR 27
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paranoá to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (12%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.8% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack25
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.1
Attack27
Defense41
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.7
Paranoá Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Genus Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.542%
BTTS29%
Under 2.558%
Paranoá Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Genus Goals
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Paranoávs
0.40
GenusDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Paranoá+2
Gap#7
Genus
WR 18% 24 pts
WR 12% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paranoá | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 31 | 24 |
| Genus | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 21 |
Paranoá
4.0%
| Feb 24 | Paranoá v Gama | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Paranoá v Capital… | 0-0 |
| May 20 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-0 |
| May 14 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Apr 16 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Paranoá v Real FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 26 | Paranoá v Rondoni… | 1-1 |
| Mar 25 | Paranoá v Real FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 1-0 |
Genus
4.0%
| Apr 08 | Genus v União C… | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Genus v Jaguaré | 1-3 |
| Mar 25 | Genus v Porto V… | 1-4 |
| Mar 12 | Genus v Rondoni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Genus v Paranoá | 3-0 |
| Mar 27 | Genus v Rondoni… | 3-1 |
| Mar 19 | Genus v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Genus v União C… | 1-1 |
| May 12 | Genus v Rondoni… | 5-1 |
| May 09 | Genus v Porto V… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 26, 2023 | Paranoá | 3-0 | Genus |
Key Factors
Paranoá struggling (3L in last 5)
Genus struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.