Ekstraklasa · Apr 30, 2023 15:30

Lech Poznan
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT

Gornik Zabrze
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk40%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 3% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 3%, pos gap 4
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Lech Poznan Form DWDWW
STABLE
Gornik Zabrze Form LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS17%
Under 2.548%
Lech Poznan Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Gornik Zabr… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Lech Poznan
vs
0.20
Gornik Zabrze
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings42%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Lech Poznan
-4
Gap
#3
Gornik Zabr…
WR 30% 29 pts WR 33% 33 pts
Lech Poznan 16.0%
Mar 12 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-1
Mar 03 Lech Po… v Lechia … 5-0
Oct 23 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 0-0
Oct 16 Lech Po… v Gornik … 1-2
Aug 31 Lech Po… v Lechia … 0-3
Aug 28 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-0
May 08 Lech Po… v Piast G… 1-2
Mar 02 Lech Po… v Gornik … 0-2
Feb 20 Lech Po… v Lechia … 1-0
Feb 06 Lech Po… v Cracovi… 3-3
Gornik Zabrze 8.0%
Mar 31 Gornik … v Piast G… 1-0
Mar 17 Gornik … v Wisla P… 3-2
Feb 12 Gornik … v Radomia… 0-0
Feb 04 Gornik … v Lechia … 1-1
Nov 18 Gornik … v Lechia … 2-1
Oct 16 Gornik … v Lech Po… 1-2
Sep 10 Gornik … v Piast G… 3-3
Sep 05 Gornik … v Wisla P… 1-1
Jul 30 Gornik … v Radomia… 0-3
Apr 29 Gornik … v Radomia… 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 16, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Lech Poznan
Mar 02, 2022 Gornik Zabrze 0-2 Lech Poznan
Dec 19, 2021 Lech Poznan 2-1 Gornik Zabrze
Jul 30, 2021 Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Lech Poznan
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.