AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Jul 30, 2021

Gornik Zabrze

Home
VS
18:30

Lech Poznan

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Gornik Zabrze Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Lech Poznan Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.37 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gornik Zabrze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Lech Poznan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Gornik Zabrze Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Gornik Za… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Feb 20 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 2-0
Dec 07 Gornik Za… vs Wisla Plo… 0-1
Sep 13 Gornik Za… vs Lechia Gd… 3-0
Jul 06 Gornik Za… vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Lech Poznan Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Jul 03 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 0-1
Apr 20 Lech Pozn… vs Lechia Gd… 3-0
Apr 03 Lech Pozn… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gornik Zabrze struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gornik Zabrze to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gornik Zabrze Power 0
Lech Poznan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Gornik Zabrze Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Lech Poznan Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.