Ligue 1 · Mar 06, 2026 19:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
5-1
predicted

Monaco
PWR 34
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form WWWLW
UP
Monaco Form LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS33%
Under 2.540%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Monaco Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
0.41
Monaco
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings78%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…
+9
Gap
#10
Monaco
WR 89% 48 pts WR 22% 27 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 16.0%
Feb 01 Paris S… v Strasbo… 1-2
Jan 28 Paris S… v Newcast… 1-0
Jan 23 Paris S… v Auxerre 0-1
Jan 20 Paris S… v Sportin… 2-1
Jan 16 Paris S… v Lille 3-0
Jan 12 Paris S… v Paris FC 0-1
Jan 08 Paris S… v Marseil… 2-2
Jan 04 Paris S… v Paris FC 2-1
Dec 13 Paris S… v Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris S… v Athleti… 0-0
Monaco 8.0%
Feb 05 Monaco v Strasbo… 3-1
Jan 31 Monaco v Rennes … 4-0
Jan 28 Monaco v Juventus 0-0
Jan 24 Monaco v LE Havr… 0-0
Jan 20 Monaco v Real Ma… 6-1
Jan 16 Monaco v Lorient 1-3
Jan 03 Monaco v Lyon 1-3
Dec 21 Monaco v Auxerre 1-2
Dec 14 Monaco v Marseil… 1-0
Dec 09 Monaco v Galatas… 1-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 29, 2025 Monaco 1-0 Paris Saint G…
Feb 07, 2025 Paris Saint G… 4-1 Monaco
Jan 05, 2025 Paris Saint G… 1-0 Monaco
Dec 18, 2024 Monaco 2-4 Paris Saint G…
Mar 01, 2024 Monaco 0-0 Paris Saint G…
Nov 24, 2023 Paris Saint G… 5-2 Monaco
Feb 11, 2023 Monaco 3-1 Paris Saint G…
Aug 28, 2022 Paris Saint G… 1-1 Monaco
Mar 20, 2022 Monaco 3-0 Paris Saint G…
Dec 12, 2021 Paris Saint G… 2-0 Monaco
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.