Ligue 1 · Mar 06, 2026 19:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49

Monaco
PWR 34

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
5-1
predicted

Monaco
PWR 34
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 9 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (9 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WWWLW
UP
Monaco Form
LWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS33%
Under 2.540%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Monaco Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.41
MonacoDecision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings78%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+9
Gap#10
Monaco
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 22% 27 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
16.0%
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Paris S… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Paris S… v Lille | 3-0 |
| Jan 12 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Jan 04 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Paris S… v Metz | 2-3 |
| Dec 10 | Paris S… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
Monaco
8.0%
| Feb 05 | Monaco v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Monaco v Rennes … | 4-0 |
| Jan 28 | Monaco v Juventus | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Monaco v LE Havr… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Monaco v Real Ma… | 6-1 |
| Jan 16 | Monaco v Lorient | 1-3 |
| Jan 03 | Monaco v Lyon | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Monaco v Auxerre | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | Monaco v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Monaco v Galatas… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Monaco | 1-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 4-1 | Monaco |
| Jan 05, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Monaco |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Monaco | 2-4 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 01, 2024 | Monaco | 0-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 5-2 | Monaco |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Monaco | 3-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-1 | Monaco |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Monaco | 3-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 2-0 | Monaco |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.