Primeira Liga · Mar 08, 2026 17:00

Benfica
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

FC Porto
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form DDWLW
STABLE
FC Porto Form LDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS37%
Under 2.571%
Benfica Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
FC Porto Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Benfica
vs
0.81
FC Porto
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica
-2
Gap
#1
FC Porto
WR 60% 46 pts WR 91% 55 pts
Benfica 12.0%
Feb 01 Benfica v Tondela 0-0
Jan 28 Benfica v Real Ma… 0-0
Jan 25 Benfica v Estrela… 4-0
Jan 21 Benfica v Juventus 2-0
Jan 17 Benfica v Rio Ave… 0-2
Jan 14 Benfica v FC Porto 1-0
Jan 13 Benfica v Newcast… 0-5
Jan 07 Benfica v Chelsea… 2-6
Jan 07 Benfica v SC Braga 1-3
Jan 03 Benfica v Estoril 3-1
FC Porto 12.0%
Feb 02 FC Porto v Casa Pi… 2-1
Jan 29 FC Porto v Rangers… 0-0
Jan 26 FC Porto v GIL Vic… 3-0
Jan 22 FC Porto v Plzen 1-1
Jan 18 FC Porto v Guimara… 0-1
Jan 14 FC Porto v Benfica 1-0
Jan 04 FC Porto v Santa C… 0-1
Dec 29 FC Porto v AVS 2-0
Dec 22 FC Porto v Alverca 0-3
Dec 18 FC Porto v Famalic… 4-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 14, 2026 FC Porto 1-0 Benfica
Oct 05, 2025 FC Porto 0-0 Benfica
May 17, 2025 FC Porto 1-4 Benfica
Apr 06, 2025 FC Porto 1-4 Benfica
Jan 06, 2025 Benfica 2-1 FC Porto
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4-1 FC Porto
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4-1 FC Porto
May 17, 2024 Benfica 5-2 FC Porto
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5-0 Benfica
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5-0 Benfica
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.