AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 08, 2026

FC St. Gallen

Home
VS
13:00

FC Basel 1893

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
FC St. Gallen Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
FC Basel 1893 Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.61 - 2.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 2.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC St. Gallen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
FC St. Gallen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 2-1
Feb 01 FC St. Ga… vs FC Luzern 2-2
Jan 25 FC St. Ga… vs Servette … 2-4
Dec 21 FC St. Ga… vs Grasshopp… 1-2
Dec 16 FC St. Ga… vs FC Sion 3-1
Dec 13 FC St. Ga… vs FC Thun 0-2
Dec 06 FC St. Ga… vs FC Zurich 1-2
Dec 03 FC St. Ga… vs Rapperswil 0-0
Nov 30 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 0-0
Nov 26 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 1-3
FC Basel 1893 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 2-1
Feb 01 FC Basel … vs FC Thun 1-2
Jan 29 FC Basel … vs Plzen 0-0
Jan 25 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 3-4
Jan 22 FC Basel … vs RB Salzbu… 3-1
Jan 18 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 1-1
Jan 06 FC Basel … vs Slavia Pr… 3-4
Dec 20 FC Basel … vs Servette … 1-1
Dec 17 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 1-2
Dec 14 FC Basel … vs Lausanne 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC St. Gallen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Basel 1893 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2026 FC St. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Schweizer Pokal
Nov 30, 2025 FC Basel 1893 0 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Jul 26, 2025 FC St. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Feb 22, 2025 FC St. Gallen 2 - 2 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Dec 08, 2024 FC St. Gallen 1 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Oct 20, 2024 FC Basel 1893 2 - 1 FC St. Gallen Super League
Feb 11, 2024 FC Basel 1893 1 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Nov 26, 2023 FC Basel 1893 2 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Jul 22, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
May 14, 2023 FC St. Gallen 6 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC St. Gallen to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC St. Gallen Power 0
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FC St. Gallen Position

+1

Position Gap

4

FC Basel 1893 Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.