League One · Apr 12, 2025 14:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
4 - 1
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
1-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Bolton Form
LDWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS47%
Under 2.539%
Burnley Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Bolton Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Burnleyvs
0.69
BoltonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Burnley-11
Gap#1
Bolton
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 45% 263 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
Burnley
18.0%
| Apr 11 | Burnley v Norwich… | 2-1 |
| Apr 08 | Burnley v Derby | 0-0 |
| Apr 05 | Burnley v Accring… | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Burnley v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Burnley v Accring… | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Burnley v Birming… | 6-2 |
| Apr 01 | Burnley v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 01 | Burnley v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Apr 01 | Burnley v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Burnley v Watford | 2-3 |
Bolton
8.0%
| Apr 08 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Bolton v Stoke C… | 1-1 |
| Apr 08 | Bolton v Aldersh… | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | Bolton v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Bolton v Wrexham | 3-0 |
| Apr 05 | Bolton v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Apr 01 | Bolton v Wigan | 0-1 |
| Apr 01 | Bolton v Leyton … | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Bolton v Southam… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Bolton v Hull Ci… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 08, 2025 | Burnley | 4-0 | Bolton |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Burnley | 0-0 | Bolton |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Bolton | 1-4 | Burnley |
| May 07, 2024 | Bolton | 2-3 | Burnley |
| May 03, 2024 | Burnley | 1-3 | Bolton |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Bolton | 1-3 | Burnley |
| Mar 05, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Bolton |
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.