League One · Mar 05, 2024 19:45
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
2 - 2
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Bolton Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS50%
Under 2.536%
Burnley Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Bolton Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Burnleyvs
0.75
BoltonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Burnley-11
Gap#1
Bolton
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 45% 263 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-2 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Burnley v Wycombe | 2-4 |
| Mar 02 | Burnley v Wycombe | 2-4 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Crystal… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Derby | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Burnley v Crystal… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Arsenal | 0-5 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Chester… | 4-3 |
| Feb 17 | Burnley v Fleetwo… | 1-2 |
Bolton
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Aston V… | 2-3 |
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Cambrid… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Bolton v Chelsea | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Carlisle | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Bolton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bolton v Northam… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bolton v Liverpo… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Bolton |
| May 19, 2023 | Burnley | 1-0 | Bolton |
| May 13, 2023 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
Bolton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.