League One · Feb 03, 2024 15:00
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
1 - 1
FT
Burnley
PWR 25
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Bolton to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (13%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Bolton Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Burnley Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS17%
Under 2.548%
Bolton Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Burnley Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Boltonvs
0.20
BurnleyDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Bolton+11
Gap#12
Burnley
WR 45% 263 pts
WR 36% 101 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
Bolton
16.0%
| Jan 30 | Bolton v Brighton | 4-0 |
| Jan 30 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Bolton v Cambrid… | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Bolton v Carlisle | 1-4 |
| Jan 23 | Bolton v Chelsea | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bolton v Charlton | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bolton v Leyton … | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bolton v Leyton … | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Bolton v Bolton | 1-2 |
| Jan 15 | Bolton v Derby | 3-2 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Burnley v Manches… | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Burnley v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Jan 27 | Burnley v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Burnley v Oxford … | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Burnley v Carlisle | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Burnley v Bristol… | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | Burnley v Bolton | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Burnley v Tottenh… | 1-0 |
| Jan 01 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Burnley v Wigan | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 12, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Bolton |
| May 19, 2023 | Burnley | 1-0 | Bolton |
| May 13, 2023 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Jul 07, 2020 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Burnley struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.