League One · May 13, 2023 14:00
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
1 - 1
FT
Burnley
PWR 25
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Bolton to win (83% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
83%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (13%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskElevated draw risk (28.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Bolton Form
DDWWW
STABLE
Burnley Form
WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS20%
Under 2.547%
Bolton Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Burnley Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Boltonvs
0.24
BurnleyDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Bolton+11
Gap#12
Burnley
WR 45% 263 pts
WR 36% 101 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
Bolton
16.0%
| Apr 19 | Bolton v Reading… | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | Bolton v Brighton | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 0-2 |
| Apr 10 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 3-1 |
| Apr 07 | Bolton v Exeter … | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | Bolton v Plymouth | 4-0 |
| Feb 25 | Bolton v Port Va… | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Bolton v Wycombe | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 0-5 |
| Jan 07 | Bolton v Plymouth | 0-0 |
Burnley
10.0%
| May 08 | Burnley v Cardiff | 3-0 |
| May 07 | Burnley v Peterbo… | 0-2 |
| May 07 | Burnley v Chester… | 3-2 |
| Apr 29 | Burnley v Oldham | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | Burnley v Chester… | 2-0 |
| Apr 18 | Burnley v Lincoln | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Burnley v Reading… | 0-0 |
| Mar 31 | Burnley v Sunderl… | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Burnley v Exeter … | 3-1 |
| Mar 18 | Burnley v Wycombe | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Jul 07, 2020 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.