League One · Jan 02, 2023 15:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
0 - 3
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (17%)
1-0 (17%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
WLWLW
STABLE
Bolton Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS34%
Under 2.574%
Burnley Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Bolton Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Burnleyvs
0.79
BoltonDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Burnley-11
Gap#1
Bolton
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 45% 263 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
Burnley
12.0%
| Dec 27 | Burnley v Birming… | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Burnley v Manches… | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Burnley v Peterbo… | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Burnley v Port Va… | 2-1 |
| Oct 29 | Burnley v Reading… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Burnley v Lincoln | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Burnley v Chester… | 3-2 |
| Oct 22 | Burnley v Sunderl… | 2-4 |
| Oct 19 | Burnley v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Burnley v Exeter … | 0-2 |
Bolton
16.0%
| Jan 01 | Bolton v Hudders… | 1-2 |
| Dec 30 | Bolton v Lincoln | 1-1 |
| Dec 17 | Bolton v Exeter … | 2-0 |
| Nov 12 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Bolton v Blackpo… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Bolton v Reading… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Bolton v Brighton | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Bolton v Hudders… | 3-3 |
| Oct 01 | Bolton v Lincoln | 2-0 |
| Sep 17 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Burnley | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Jul 07, 2020 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.