Australia Cup · Jul 30, 2022 09:30
Newcastle Jets
PWR 49
Adelaide United
PWR 27
Newcastle Jets
PWR 49
0 - 2
FT
Adelaide United
PWR 27
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Newcastle Jets to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (18%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (11%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack93
Defense18
Goals/G2.7
Conc/G2.3
Attack35
Defense21
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.3
Newcastle Jets Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Adelaide United Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS30%
Under 2.576%
Newcastle J… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Adelaide Un… Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Newcastle Jetsvs
0.58
Adelaide UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Newcastle J…+4
Gap#10
Adelaide Un…
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 25% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Adelaide United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
Newcastle Jets
8.0%
| Apr 20 | Newcast… v Western… | 3-2 |
| Mar 25 | Newcast… v Sydney | 2-0 |
| Mar 18 | Newcast… v Welling… | 4-0 |
| Mar 13 | Newcast… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Newcast… v Welling… | 3-2 |
| Feb 23 | Newcast… v Western… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Newcast… v Melbour… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Newcast… v Melbour… | 2-4 |
| Jan 30 | Newcast… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Dec 04 | Newcast… v Sydney | 2-2 |
Adelaide United
14.0%
| May 22 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| May 18 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| May 15 | Adelaid… v Central… | 3-1 |
| Apr 30 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 2-0 |
| Apr 24 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 2-0 |
| Apr 08 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Adelaid… v Western… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 13, 2022 | Adelaide Unit… | 2-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Newcastle Jets | 1-2 | Adelaide Unit… |
Key Factors
Adelaide United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.