Predictions Match Details
Sergipano · Apr 03, 2024 23:15

AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Confiança
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AO Itabaiana Form WDDDW
STABLE
Confiança Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS36%
Under 2.557%
AO Itabaiana Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Confiança Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
AO Itabaiana
vs
0.56
Confiança
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AO Itabaiana
+2
Gap
#4
Confiança
WR 75% 13 pts WR 33% 8 pts
AO Itabaiana 14.0%
Mar 30 AO Itab… v Dorense 2-0
Mar 16 AO Itab… v Dorense 1-1
Mar 13 AO Itab… v Dorense 0-0
Mar 09 AO Itab… v Lagarto 2-2
Mar 03 AO Itab… v Confian… 0-1
Feb 18 AO Itab… v Falcon 4-0
Jan 31 AO Itab… v Atlétic… 2-3
Jan 28 AO Itab… v Sergipe 0-2
Apr 22 AO Itab… v Confian… 0-2
Apr 16 AO Itab… v Confian… 2-0
Confiança 12.0%
Mar 13 Confian… v Lagarto 0-2
Mar 03 Confian… v AO Itab… 0-1
Feb 22 Confian… v Atlétic… 4-0
Feb 04 Confian… v Sergipe 2-1
Jan 30 Confian… v Falcon 1-0
Apr 22 Confian… v AO Itab… 0-2
Apr 16 Confian… v AO Itab… 2-0
Apr 09 Confian… v Lagarto 2-0
Apr 01 Confian… v Lagarto 0-0
Mar 15 Confian… v Falcon 0-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Mar 03, 2024 Confiança 0-1 AO Itabaiana
Apr 22, 2023 Confiança 0-2 AO Itabaiana
Apr 16, 2023 AO Itabaiana 2-0 Confiança
Jan 29, 2023 AO Itabaiana 2-0 Confiança
Key Factors
Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.