Predictions Match Details
A Lyga · Mar 17, 2024 16:30

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 55
1 - 3
FT

Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 57
22% H 30% D 49% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack54
Defense58
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
FK Zalgiris Vi… Form LDD
STABLE
Hegelmann Lita… Form W
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS60%
Under 2.541%
FK Zalgiris… Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Hegelmann L… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
FK Zalgiris Vi…
vs
1.22
Hegelmann Lita…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FK Zalgiris…
+1
Gap
#3
Hegelmann L…
WR 49% 72 pts WR 58% 67 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
FK Zalgiris Vil…4120129654872
Hegelmann Litau…3621411564367
FK Zalgiris Vi… 6.7%
Feb 14 FK Zalg… v Hegelma… 1-3
Oct 22 FK Zalg… v Šiauliai 2-2
Jan 22 FK Zalg… v Rīgas FS 2-2
Hegelmann Lita… 20.0%
Feb 14 Hegelma… v FK Zalg… 1-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Feb 14, 2024 FK Zalgiris V… 1-3 Hegelmann Lit…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.