Second League · Mar 25, 2026 13:30

Spartak Varna
PWR 37
1-0
predicted

Belasitsa
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Spartak Varna to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
29Attack0
55Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Varna WLWLL
STABLE
Belasitsa WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
Spartak Varna
vs
0.62
Belasitsa
Goal Probability
Spartak Var…
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Belasitsa
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 68% 32% OVER
2.5 42% 58% -
3.5 21% 79% UNDER
4.5 9% 91% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#14
Spartak Var…
+1
Gap
#15
Belasitsa
WR 27% 40 pts WR 21% 38 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Spartak Varna37101017314840
Belasitsa4491124326938
Spartak Varna 8.0%
Mar 21 Spartak… v Etar Ve… 1-0
Mar 19 Spartak… v Ludogor… 1-5
Mar 14 Spartak… v Hebar 1… 0-1
Mar 14 Spartak… v CSKA 19… 1-2
Mar 07 Spartak… v Chernom… 1-2
Mar 06 Spartak… v CSKA So… 4-0
Mar 03 Spartak… v Montana 1-0
Feb 28 Spartak… v Pirin B… 1-1
Feb 27 Spartak… v Arda Ka… 1-0
Feb 21 Spartak… v Lokomot… 1-1
Belasitsa 6.0%
Mar 21 Belasit… v Ludogor… 1-0
Mar 14 Belasit… v Dunav R… 0-1
Mar 07 Belasit… v Vihren 3-1
Mar 02 Belasit… v CSKA So… 2-6
Feb 15 Belasit… v Lokomot… 3-3
Jan 24 Belasit… v CSKA So… 0-0
Nov 29 Belasit… v FK Miny… 0-0
Nov 22 Belasit… v Yantra … 0-2
Nov 15 Belasit… v Fratria 5-0
Nov 08 Belasit… v Sevlievo 1-0
Head-to-Head (9)
Aug 17, 2025 Belasitsa 1-1 Spartak Varna
Apr 18, 2025 Spartak Varna 0-0 Belasitsa
Oct 19, 2024 Belasitsa 2-0 Spartak Varna
May 18, 2024 Spartak Varna 0-1 Belasitsa
Mar 02, 2024 Spartak Varna 1-0 Belasitsa
Nov 03, 2023 Belasitsa 0-2 Spartak Varna
Aug 20, 2023 Belasitsa 2-0 Spartak Varna
May 01, 2023 Belasitsa 3-1 Spartak Varna
Sep 30, 2022 Spartak Varna 1-1 Belasitsa
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
Belasitsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.