Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 14:15
West Brom
PWR 30
Aston Villa
PWR 50
PWR 50
2-1
predicted
West Brom
PWR 30
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Aston Villa to win (78% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
78%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-2 (4%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 75%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
52Attack32
53Defense53
Goals/G
1.51.1
Conc/G
1.31.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
LLWWL
DOWN
West Brom
WWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.96
Aston Villavs
1.43
West BromGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
West Brom
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Aston Villa+8
Gap#14
West Brom
WR 46% 226 pts
WR 30% 165 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 142 | 65 | 31 | 46 | 211 | 191 | 226 |
| West Brom | 143 | 43 | 36 | 64 | 174 | 227 | 165 |
Aston Villa
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Aston V… v Manches… | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Aston V… v All Sai… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Aston V… v Lille | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Aston V… v John Hu… | 9-1 |
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolverh… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Aston V… v Garden … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighto… | 1-0 |
West Brom
14.0%
| Mar 21 | West Br… v Bristol… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | West Br… v Hull Ci… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | West Br… v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | West Br… v Southam… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | West Br… v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | West Br… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | West Br… v Oxford … | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | West Br… v Liverpo… | 5-2 |
| Feb 24 | West Br… v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | West Br… v Bournem… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | West Brom | 2-3 | Aston Villa |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Aston Villa | 1-1 | West Brom |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | West Brom |
| Aug 17, 2024 | West Brom | 1-2 | Aston Villa |
| Aug 17, 2024 | West Brom | 1-2 | Aston Villa |
| Mar 17, 2024 | West Brom | 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| Mar 17, 2024 | West Brom | 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Aston Villa | 4-1 | West Brom |
| Mar 12, 2023 | West Brom | 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Aston Villa | 0-1 | West Brom |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aston Villa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.