Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 17:00
AS Roma
PWR 41
Lecce
PWR 27
AS Roma
PWR 41
3-1
predicted
Lecce
PWR 27
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AS Roma Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
87%
Home/Draw
1.21x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.89x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
35Attack17
82Defense61
Goals/G
1.20.6
Conc/G
0.61.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
AS Roma
LLDLD
DOWN
Lecce
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
AS Romavs
0.78
LecceGoal Probability
AS Roma
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Lecce
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
AS Roma+10
Gap#16
Lecce
WR 64% 51 pts
WR 21% 27 pts
AS Roma
4.0%
| Mar 19 | AS Roma v Bologna | 3-4 |
| Mar 15 | AS Roma v Como | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | AS Roma v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | AS Roma v Genoa | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | AS Roma v Juventus | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | AS Roma v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | AS Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AS Roma v Panathi… | 1-1 |
Lecce
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Lecce v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lecce v Cremone… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Lecce v Como | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Lecce v Inter | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Lecce v Cagliari | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Lecce v Udinese | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Lecce v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Lecce v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lecce v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Lecce v Inter | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 06, 2026 | Lecce | 0-2 | AS Roma |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lecce | 0-1 | AS Roma |
| Dec 07, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-1 | Lecce |
| Dec 07, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-1 | Lecce |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Lecce | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Lecce | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Nov 05, 2023 | AS Roma | 2-1 | Lecce |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Lecce | 1-1 | AS Roma |
| Oct 09, 2022 | AS Roma | 2-1 | Lecce |
| Jan 20, 2022 | AS Roma | 3-1 | Lecce |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
66%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AS Roma struggling (3L in last 5)
Lecce struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.