Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Atalanta
PWR 40
Verona
PWR 25
Atalanta
PWR 40
0 - 0
FT
Verona
PWR 25
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 68% home + 20% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atalanta Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-2 (2%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.27x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
39Attack23
74Defense47
Goals/G
1.30.8
Conc/G
0.91.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Atalanta
LDLDD
STABLE
Verona
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.44
Atalantavs
0.96
VeronaGoal Probability
Atalanta
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Verona
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Atalanta+13
Gap#20
Verona
WR 53% 47 pts
WR 13% 18 pts
Atalanta
6.0%
| Mar 18 | Atalanta v Bayern … | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | Atalanta v Inter | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Atalanta v Bayern … | 1-6 |
| Mar 07 | Atalanta v Udinese | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Atalanta v Lazio | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Atalanta v Sassuolo | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Atalanta v Borussi… | 4-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atalanta v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Atalanta v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Atalanta v Lazio | 0-2 |
Verona
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Verona v Genoa | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Verona v Bologna | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Verona v Napoli | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Verona v Sassuolo | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Verona v Parma | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Verona v Pisa | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Verona v Cagliari | 4-0 |
| Jan 26 | Verona v Udinese | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Verona v Cremone… | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Verona v Bologna | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Verona | 3-1 | Atalanta |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Verona | 0-5 | Atalanta |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atalanta | 6-1 | Verona |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atalanta | 6-1 | Verona |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Atalanta | 2-2 | Verona |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Atalanta | 2-2 | Verona |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Verona | 0-1 | Atalanta |
| May 20, 2023 | Atalanta | 3-1 | Verona |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Verona | 0-1 | Atalanta |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Atalanta | 1-2 | Verona |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
69%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Verona struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.