Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Bologna
PWR 36
Lazio
PWR 36
Bologna
PWR 36
1-0
predicted
Lazio
PWR 36
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bologna Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.77x
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
42Attack31
61Defense73
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.30.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bologna
WWDLW
STABLE
Lazio
WWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Bolognavs
0.44
LazioGoal Probability
Bologna
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Lazio
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Bologna+1
Gap#9
Lazio
WR 36% 42 pts
WR 21% 40 pts
Bologna
14.0%
| Mar 19 | Bologna v AS Roma | 3-4 |
| Mar 15 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Bologna v AS Roma | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Bologna v Verona | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Bologna v Pisa | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Bologna v Brann | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Bologna v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Bologna v Brann | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Bologna v Torino | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Bologna v Lazio | 1-1 |
Lazio
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Lazio v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lazio v Sassuolo | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Lazio v Atalanta | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lazio v Torino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lazio v Cagliari | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Lazio v Lecce | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bologna | 1-1 | Lazio |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Lazio | 1-1 | Bologna |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Bologna | 5-0 | Lazio |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Lazio | 3-0 | Bologna |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lazio | 1-2 | Bologna |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lazio | 1-2 | Bologna |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Bologna | 1-0 | Lazio |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bologna | 0-0 | Lazio |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Lazio | 1-0 | Bologna |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
56%
Market
46%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bologna in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.