Ligue 1 · Mar 22, 2026 16:15
Paris FC
PWR 31
LE Havre AC
PWR 30
Paris FC
PWR 31
3 - 2
FT
LE Havre AC
PWR 30
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (5%)
WRONG 3-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.96x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
39Attack24
49Defense63
Goals/G
1.30.8
Conc/G
1.71.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Paris FC
DDWDL
STABLE
LE Havre AC
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Paris FCvs
0.30
LE Havre ACGoal Probability
Paris FC
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
LE Havre AC
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Paris FC+1
Gap#14
LE Havre AC
WR 25% 28 pts
WR 8% 27 pts
Paris FC
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Paris FC v Strasbo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Paris FC v Lyon | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paris FC v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris FC v Lens | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Paris FC v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paris FC v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Paris FC v Angers | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Paris FC v Nantes | 1-2 |
LE Havre AC
6.0%
| Mar 15 | LE Havr… v Lyon | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | LE Havr… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | LE Havr… v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | LE Havr… v Nantes | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | LE Havr… v Toulouse | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | LE Havr… v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | LE Havr… v Lens | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | LE Havr… v Monaco | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | LE Havr… v Rennes … | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | LE Havr… v Angers | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 07, 2025 | LE Havre AC | 0-0 | Paris FC |
| Aug 02, 2025 | Paris FC | 1-1 | LE Havre AC |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Paris FC | 2-1 | LE Havre AC |
| Aug 16, 2024 | LE Havre AC | 1-4 | Paris FC |
| Aug 16, 2024 | LE Havre AC | 1-4 | Paris FC |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Paris FC | 3-3 | LE Havre AC |
| Dec 03, 2023 | LE Havre AC | 0-2 | Paris FC |
| Feb 03, 2023 | LE Havre AC | 0-0 | Paris FC |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Paris FC | 0-0 | LE Havre AC |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Paris FC | 2-2 | LE Havre AC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
57%
Market
52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
LE Havre AC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.