Ligue 1 · Mar 22, 2026 19:45
Nantes
PWR 26
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Nantes
PWR 26
1 - 0
FT
Strasbourg
PWR 39
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Strasbourg Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.99x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.42x
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
29Attack50
46Defense63
Goals/G
1.01.7
Conc/G
1.81.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Nantes
LLWLL
DOWN
Strasbourg
DDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Nantesvs
1.28
StrasbourgGoal Probability
Nantes
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Strasbourg
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Nantes-9
Gap#8
Strasbourg
WR 15% 17 pts
WR 23% 37 pts
Nantes
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Nantes v Angers | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Nantes v Lille | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Nantes v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Nantes v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nantes v Lorient | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nantes v Nice | 1-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Nantes v Nice | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Nantes v Marseil… | 0-2 |
Strasbourg
14.0%
| Mar 19 | Strasbo… v HNK Rij… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Strasbo… v Paris FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Strasbo… v HNK Rij… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Strasbo… v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Strasbo… v Reims | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Strasbo… v Lens | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Strasbo… v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Strasbo… v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Strasbo… v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Strasbo… v Monaco | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Strasbourg | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Nantes | 0-1 | Strasbourg |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Strasbourg | 3-1 | Nantes |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Strasbourg |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
32%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nantes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.