Ligue 1 · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Lyon
PWR 42
Monaco
PWR 34
Lyon
PWR 42
1 - 2
FT
Monaco
PWR 34
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Monaco Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 1-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.74x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.58x
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
50Attack48
70Defense51
Goals/G
1.71.6
Conc/G
1.01.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lyon
LDDDD
STABLE
Monaco
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Lyonvs
0.98
MonacoGoal Probability
Lyon
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Monaco
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Lyon+2
Gap#6
Monaco
WR 75% 47 pts
WR 33% 43 pts
Lyon
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Lyon v Celta d… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Lyon v LE Havr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Lyon v Celta d… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lyon v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lyon v Lens | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lyon v Marseil… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lyon v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
Monaco
18.0%
| Mar 14 | Monaco v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Monaco v Paris S… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Monaco v Angers | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Monaco v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Monaco v Lens | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Monaco v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monaco v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Monaco v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Monaco v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Monaco v Rennes … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 03, 2026 | Monaco | 1-3 | Lyon |
| May 10, 2025 | Monaco | 2-0 | Lyon |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lyon | 0-2 | Monaco |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lyon | 0-2 | Monaco |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Lyon | 3-2 | Monaco |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Lyon | 3-2 | Monaco |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Monaco | 0-1 | Lyon |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Monaco | 0-1 | Lyon |
| May 19, 2023 | Lyon | 3-1 | Monaco |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Monaco | 2-1 | Lyon |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
66%
Market
39%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Monaco in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.