Serie B · Mar 22, 2026 16:15
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Avellino
PWR 31
Sampdoria
PWR 32
2 - 1
FT
Avellino
PWR 31
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sampdoria Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.88x
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
29Attack37
62Defense52
Goals/G
1.01.2
Conc/G
1.31.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sampdoria
DDLDL
STABLE
Avellino
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sampdoriavs
0.64
AvellinoGoal Probability
Sampdoria
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Avellino
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Sampdoria-4
Gap#10
Avellino
WR 40% 31 pts
WR 20% 36 pts
Sampdoria
6.0%
| Mar 18 | Sampdor… v Carrare… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Sampdor… v Venezia | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sampdor… v Frosino… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Sampdor… v Juve St… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sampdor… v Bari | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Sampdor… v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sampdor… v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sampdor… v Palermo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sampdor… v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-0 |
Avellino
14.0%
| Mar 18 | Avellino v Sudtirol | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Avellino v Virtus … | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Avellino v Padova | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Avellino v Venezia | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | Avellino v Juve St… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Avellino v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Avellino v Pescara | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Avellino v Frosino… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Avellino v Monza | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Avellino v Cosenza | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Avellino | 2-1 | Sampdoria |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
42%
Market
49%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Avellino in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.