Serie B · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Bari
PWR 27
Carrarese
PWR 35
Bari
PWR 27
0 - 3
FT
Carrarese
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bari Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
WRONG 0-3
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.65x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.54x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
25Attack42
54Defense56
Goals/G
0.81.4
Conc/G
1.51.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bari
LWLWW
STABLE
Carrarese
DDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (37.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Barivs
0.54
CarrareseGoal Probability
Bari
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Carrarese
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Bari-5
Gap#12
Carrarese
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 13% 33 pts
Bari
12.0%
| Mar 18 | Bari v Frosinoā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bari v Reggianā¦ | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Bari v Pescara | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Bari v Empoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bari v Sampdorā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bari v Padova | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Bari v Spezia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bari v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Bari v Palermo | 0-3 |
Carrarese
8.0%
| Mar 18 | Carrareā¦ v Sampdorā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Carrareā¦ v Juve Stā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Carrareā¦ v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Carrareā¦ v Catanzaā¦ | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrareā¦ v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrareā¦ v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrareā¦ v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carrareā¦ v Venezia | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Bari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Carrarese | 2-1 | Bari |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bari | 0-0 | Carrarese |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bari | 0-0 | Carrarese |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
40%
Market
37%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bari in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.