Ekstraklasa · Mar 22, 2026 19:15
Legia Warszawa
PWR 35
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
Legia Warszawa
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Raków Częstochowa
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Raków Częstochowa Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Legia Warszawa
LDLWW
STABLE
Raków Częstoch…
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Legia Warszawavs
0.40
Raków Częstoch…Goal Probability
Legia Warsz…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Raków Częst…
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Legia Warsz…-11
Gap#5
Raków Częst…
WR 42% 29 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
Legia Warszawa
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Legia W… v Pogoń G… | 3-2 |
| Mar 13 | Legia W… v Radomia… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Legia W… v ŁKS Łódź | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Legia W… v Cracovi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Legia W… v Wisla K… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Legia W… v Jagiell… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Ruch Ch… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Legia W… v Znicz P… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Legia W… v GKS Kat… | 1-1 |
Raków Częstoch…
6.0%
| Mar 19 | Raków C… v Fiorent… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Raków C… v Gornik … | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Raków C… v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Raków C… v Pogoń S… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Raków C… v Lech Po… | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Raków C… v Nieciec… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Raków C… v Zaglebi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Raków C… v Radomia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Raków C… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Raków C… v Vojvodi… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Raków Częstoc… | 1-1 | Legia Warszawa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
30%
Market
47%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Raków Częstochowa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.