Eerste Divisie · Mar 22, 2026 15:45
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
Willem II
PWR 35
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
0 - 5
FT
Willem II
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-5
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.34x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MVV Maastricht
LWDDL
STABLE
Willem II
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
MVV Maastrichtvs
2.13
Willem IIGoal Probability
MVV Maastri…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Willem II
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
0-3 (11%)0-2 (10%)0-4 (10%)1-3 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-5 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
MVV Maastri…-10
Gap#5
Willem II
WR 38% 37 pts
WR 41% 51 pts
MVV Maastricht
8.0%
| Mar 16 | MVV Maa… v Jong AZ | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | MVV Maa… v VVV Ven… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | MVV Maa… v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | MVV Maa… v De Graa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | MVV Maa… v Roda | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | MVV Maa… v ADO Den… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | MVV Maa… v Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | MVV Maa… v Almere … | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… | 5-0 |
| Jan 23 | MVV Maa… v Utrecht | 2-2 |
Willem II
14.0%
| Mar 13 | Willem … v FC OSS | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Willem … v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Willem … v Emmen | 0-3 |
| Feb 24 | Willem … v ADO Den… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Willem … v Vitesse | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Willem … v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Willem … v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Willem … v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Willem … v VVV Ven… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Willem … v PSV Ein… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Willem II | 2-2 | MVV Maastricht |
| Apr 20, 2024 | MVV Maastricht | 1-1 | Willem II |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
30%
Market
35%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.