Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 22, 2026 11:00
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 45
Felgueiras 1932
PWR 35
0 - 3
FT
Moreirense
PWR 45
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (53%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (5%)1-1 (5%)0-2 (1%)
WRONG 0-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.51x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.74x
Over 2.5
3%
Under 2.5
97%
97%
BTTS
No
No 6%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack43
100Defense54
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Felgueiras 1932
DLDDL
STABLE
Moreirense
LWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
Felgueiras 1932vs
0.20
MoreirenseGoal Probability
Felgueiras …
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Moreirense
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Felgueiras …-11
Gap#1
Moreirense
WR 31% 67 pts
WR 37% 384 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 19… | 52 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 62 | 62 | 67 |
| Moreirense | 281 | 104 | 72 | 105 | 345 | 367 | 384 |
Felgueiras 1932
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Felguei… v Farense | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Felguei… v Vizela | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Felguei… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Felguei… v Penafie… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Felguei… v Benfica | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | Felguei… v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Felguei… v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Felguei… v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Felguei… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Felguei… v Portimo… | 0-0 |
Moreirense
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Nacional | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Moreire… v Casa Pi… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 02, 2026 | Moreirense | 0-0 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Jan 03, 2026 | Felgueiras 19… | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Moreirense | 2-0 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Felgueiras 19… | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| May 17, 2025 | Felgueiras 19… | 2-1 | Moreirense |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-1 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Moreirense | 3-2 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Jan 05, 2025 | Moreirense | 0-3 | Felgueiras 19… |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Felgueiras 19… | 1-2 | Moreirense |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Felgueiras 19… | 0-0 | Moreirense |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
45%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.