Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 22, 2026 18:00
Benfica
PWR 51
Farense
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 51
1 - 0
FT
Farense
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Benfica Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.55x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.73x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
54Attack0
57Defense100
Goals/G
1.60.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica
WLWDW
STABLE
Farense
DDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Benficavs
0.54
FarenseGoal Probability
Benfica
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Farense
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Benfica+10
Gap#13
Farense
WR 39% 144 pts
WR 34% 61 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 96 | 37 | 33 | 26 | 149 | 117 | 144 |
| Farense | 47 | 16 | 13 | 18 | 54 | 59 | 61 |
Benfica
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Benfica v Guimara… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Pacos F… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Arouca | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Valadar… | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Benfica v Moreire… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Benfica v FC Porto | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Benfica v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Benfica v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Benfica v Damaien… | 0-4 |
Farense
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Farense v Felguei… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Farense v Penafie… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Farense v Lusitân… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Farense v Chaves | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Farense v Leixões… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Farense v MarĂtimo | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Farense v FC Porto | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Farense v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Farense v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Farense v Portimo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 17, 2025 | Farense | 0-2 | Benfica |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Farense | 4-3 | Benfica |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Benfica | 3-2 | Farense |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Farense | 1-3 | Benfica |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Farense | 1-2 | Benfica |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Farense | 1-3 | Benfica |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Farense | 1-3 | Benfica |
| Dec 08, 2023 | Benfica | 1-1 | Farense |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.