HNL · Mar 22, 2026 14:00

NK Slaven Belupo
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

NK Osijek
PWR 32
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.8x
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack28
100Defense50
Goals/G
0.00.8
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
NK Slaven Belu… LDDWD
STABLE
NK Osijek DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
NK Slaven Belu…
vs
0.87
NK Osijek
Goal Probability
NK Slaven B…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
NK Osijek
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 83% 17% OVER
1.5 52% 48% -
2.5 26% 74% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
NK Slaven B…
+4
Gap
#9
NK Osijek
WR 58% 35 pts WR 17% 24 pts
NK Slaven Belu… 10.0%
Mar 14 NK Slav… v Dinamo … 4-2
Mar 10 NK Slav… v NK Loko… 1-1
Mar 07 NK Slav… v HNK Gor… 2-2
Feb 27 NK Slav… v Istra 1… 1-0
Feb 20 NK Slav… v Vukovar 2-2
Feb 13 NK Slav… v NK Loko… 2-0
Feb 07 NK Slav… v HNK Haj… 2-0
Jan 31 NK Slav… v NK Vara… 0-2
Jan 24 NK Slav… v HNK Rij… 2-2
Jan 16 NK Slav… v NK Loko… 2-4
NK Osijek 10.0%
Mar 14 NK Osij… v HNK Gor… 0-0
Mar 06 NK Osij… v Istra 1… 0-1
Feb 28 NK Osij… v Vukovar 2-0
Feb 21 NK Osij… v NK Loko… 3-1
Feb 15 NK Osij… v HNK Haj… 0-2
Feb 08 NK Osij… v NK Vara… 2-1
Feb 01 NK Osij… v HNK Rij… 1-0
Jan 25 NK Osij… v Dinamo … 0-3
Dec 20 NK Osij… v NK Slav… 0-0
Dec 13 NK Osij… v HNK Gor… 1-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 20, 2025 NK Osijek 0-0 NK Slaven Bel…
Oct 04, 2025 NK Slaven Bel… 2-1 NK Osijek
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
68%
Market
47%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.