Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 16:00
Karpaty
PWR 35
Obolon Kyiv
PWR 35
Karpaty
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
Obolon Kyiv
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Karpaty Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.36x
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Karpaty
WDLLL
STABLE
Obolon Kyiv
LDWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Karpatyvs
0.64
Obolon KyivGoal Probability
Karpaty
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Obolon Kyiv
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Karpaty-1
Gap#9
Obolon Kyiv
WR 10% 23 pts
WR 40% 24 pts
Karpaty
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Karpaty v SK Polt… | 0-4 |
| Mar 08 | Karpaty v Kudrivka | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Karpaty v Kolos K… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Karpaty v Shakhta… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Karpaty v Stjarnan | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Karpaty v Aris | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Karpaty v IFK Var… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Karpaty v Odense | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Karpaty v Polessya | 3-2 |
| Dec 05 | Karpaty v Zorya L… | 1-0 |
Obolon Kyiv
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Obolon … v Dynamo … | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Obolon … v Hirnyk | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Obolon … v Rukh Vy… | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Obolon … v HB Køge | 3-3 |
| Feb 05 | Obolon … v Petrocub | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Obolon … v FC Lief… | 1-1 |
| Dec 12 | Obolon … v Metalis… | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Obolon … v LNZ Che… | 3-0 |
| Nov 28 | Obolon … v Kolos K… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Obolon … v Shakhta… | 0-6 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 22, 2025 | Obolon Kyiv | 0-2 | Karpaty |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Obolon Kyiv | 2-2 | Karpaty |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
48%
Market
59%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Karpaty struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.