Serie A · Mar 29, 2026 21:30
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Botafogo
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
WLDWD
STABLE
Botafogo
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Athletico Para…vs
0.31
BotafogoGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Botafogo
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Athletico P…+7
Gap#17
Botafogo
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauà | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Athleti… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
Botafogo
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Botafogo v Bangu | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Botafogo v Serra B… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-3 | Athletico Par… |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 2-0 | Botafogo |
| May 04, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-4 | Botafogo |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Athletico Par… | 0-1 | Botafogo |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Botafogo | 1-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 1-0 | Botafogo |
| Jun 01, 2023 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
| May 18, 2023 | Athletico Par… | 3-2 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Botafogo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.