Major League Soccer · Mar 22, 2026 17:00
FC Cincinnati
PWR 35
Montréal Impact
PWR 35
FC Cincinnati
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Montréal Impact
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Cincinnati Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.34x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Cincinnati
LLWLL
DOWN
Montréal Impact
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
FC Cincinnativs
0.91
Montréal ImpactGoal Probability
FC Cincinna…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Montréal Im…
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)0-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
FC Cincinna…+1
Gap#12
Montréal Im…
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 25% 3 pts
FC Cincinnati
4.0%
| Mar 20 | FC Cinc… v Tigres … | 5-1 |
| Mar 15 | FC Cinc… v New Eng… | 6-1 |
| Mar 13 | FC Cinc… v Tigres … | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC Cinc… v Toronto… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | FC Cinc… v Minneso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Cinc… v Louisvi… | 0-6 |
| Feb 21 | FC Cinc… v Atlanta… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC Cinc… v Detroit… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | FC Cinc… v Houston… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | FC Cinc… v New Eng… | 1-1 |
Montréal Impact
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Montréa… v Orlando… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Montréa… v New Yor… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Montréa… v Chicago… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Montréa… v San Die… | 5-0 |
| Jan 29 | Montréa… v Metalis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Montréa… v Slovan … | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Montréa… v FC Cinc… | 3-0 |
| Oct 04 | Montréa… v Nashvil… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Montréa… v Charlot… | 1-4 |
| Sep 20 | Montréa… v New Yor… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Cincinnati | 3-0 | Montréal Impa… |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Montréal Impa… | 1-3 | FC Cincinnati |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
59%
Market
59%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Cincinnati struggling (4L in last 5)
Montréal Impact struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.