Liga Pro · Mar 23, 2026 21:30

Guayaquil City
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Leones del Norte
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Guayaquil City to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5 62%
62%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guayaquil City WDLDL
STABLE
Leones del Nor… LDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 167% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Guayaquil City
vs
0.68
Leones del Nor…
Goal Probability
Guayaquil C…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Leones del …
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 68% 32% OVER
1.5 31% 69% UNDER
2.5 11% 89% UNDER
3.5 3% 97% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#11
Guayaquil C…
+5
Gap
#16
Leones del …
WR 0% 5 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Guayaquil City 8.0%
Mar 18 Guayaqu… v Manta 0-1
Mar 15 Guayaqu… v Barcelo… 0-0
Mar 07 Guayaqu… v Delfín … 1-0
Feb 28 Guayaqu… v Aucas 1-1
Feb 22 Guayaqu… v Indepen… 2-0
Feb 08 Guayaqu… v Deporti… 0-0
Feb 05 Guayaqu… v Barcelo… 1-2
Feb 01 Guayaqu… v Barcelo… 0-1
Oct 18 Guayaqu… v 9 de Oc… 1-1
Oct 12 Guayaqu… v San Ant… 1-3
Leones del Nor… 6.0%
Mar 18 Leones … v LDU Qui… 0-2
Mar 14 Leones … v Deporti… 1-1
Mar 08 Leones … v Univers… 3-0
Feb 28 Leones … v Liberta… 1-1
Feb 22 Leones … v Macará 0-0
Oct 16 Leones … v San Ant… 1-1
Oct 11 Leones … v Gualace… 2-3
Oct 08 Leones … v Emelec 0-0
Oct 03 Leones … v UT Coto… 1-0
Sep 25 Leones … v 9 de Oc… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Oct 18, 2024 Guayaquil City 2-0 Leones del No…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.