1st Division · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Burreli
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Pogradeci
PWR 35
PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 73% away + 18% draw = 92% combined
94%
accuracy
1.15x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogradeci Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.93x
DC X2
92%
Away/Draw
1.15x
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Burreli
LDDLD
STABLE
Pogradeci
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Burrelivs
0.96
PogradeciGoal Probability
Burreli
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Pogradeci
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Burreli-2
Gap#3
Pogradeci
WR 46% 30 pts
WR 55% 43 pts
Burreli
6.0%
| Mar 18 | Burreli v Kastrio… | 5-2 |
| Mar 14 | Burreli v FK Kuke… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Burreli v Iliria … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Burreli v Besa Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Burreli v Korabi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Burreli v Pograde… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Burreli v Iliria … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Burreli v Lushnja | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Burreli v Laci | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Burreli v Apoloni… | 2-0 |
Pogradeci
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Pograde… v Iliria … | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pograde… v Lushnja | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pograde… v Burreli | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Pograde… v Apoloni… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Pograde… v Korabi … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Pograde… v Kastrio… | 2-4 |
| Jan 17 | Pograde… v Besa Ka… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 15, 2026 | Pogradeci | 2-0 | Burreli |
| Nov 07, 2025 | Burreli | 2-0 | Pogradeci |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogradeci in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.