Liga MX · Mar 22, 2026 23:00
Pachuca
PWR 35
Toluca
PWR 35
Pachuca
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Toluca
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pachuca Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.05x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.41x
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 67%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pachuca
WDWWW
STABLE
Toluca
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Pachucavs
1.21
TolucaGoal Probability
Pachuca
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Toluca
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Pachuca-2
Gap#2
Toluca
WR 83% 21 pts
WR 60% 25 pts
Pachuca
18.0%
| Mar 15 | Pachuca v Jaguare… | 1-3 |
| Mar 14 | Pachuca v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Pachuca v Montañe… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Pachuca v Puebla | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Pachuca v Necaxa | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Pachuca v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Pachuca v Inter P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Pachuca v Héroes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Pachuca v Tigres … | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Pachuca v Celaya | 2-2 |
Toluca
14.0%
| Mar 19 | Toluca v San Die… | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Toluca v Atlas | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Toluca v San Die… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Toluca v FC Juar… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Toluca v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Toluca v Guadala… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toluca v Necaxa | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Toluca v Club Ti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Toluca v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Toluca v Puebla | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 27, 2025 | Toluca | 2-2 | Pachuca |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pachuca in strong form (4W in last 5)
Toluca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.