Liga MX · Mar 22, 2026 01:00

Monterrey
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 35
37% 27% 36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-3
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Monterrey DDLLW
STABLE
Guadalajara Ch… WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Monterrey
vs
0.91
Guadalajara Ch…
Goal Probability
Monterrey
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Guadalajara…
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 69% 31% OVER
3.5 48% 52% -
4.5 29% 71% UNDER
5.5 15% 85% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#8
Monterrey
-5
Gap
#3
Guadalajara…
WR 40% 14 pts WR 67% 24 pts
Monterrey 8.0%
Mar 18 Monterr… v Cruz Az… 1-1
Mar 14 Monterr… v FC Juar… 2-2
Mar 11 Monterr… v Cruz Az… 2-3
Mar 08 Monterr… v Tigres … 1-0
Mar 05 Monterr… v Queréta… 4-0
Mar 01 Monterr… v Cruz Az… 0-2
Feb 22 Monterr… v U.N.A.M… 2-0
Feb 15 Monterr… v León FC 1-0
Feb 12 Monterr… v Xelajú 2-0
Feb 08 Monterr… v Club Am… 1-0
Guadalajara Ch… 12.0%
Mar 19 Guadala… v León FC 5-0
Mar 14 Guadala… v Santos … 3-0
Mar 08 Guadala… v Atlas 1-2
Feb 28 Guadala… v Toluca 2-0
Feb 22 Guadala… v Cruz Az… 2-1
Feb 15 Guadala… v Club Am… 1-0
Feb 07 Guadala… v Mazatlá… 1-2
Jan 31 Guadala… v Atletic… 2-3
Jan 17 Guadala… v Queréta… 2-1
Jan 14 Guadala… v FC Juar… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 08, 2025 Guadalajara C… 4-2 Monterrey
Apr 06, 2025 Monterrey 3-1 Guadalajara C…
Sep 29, 2024 Guadalajara C… 1-1 Monterrey
Mar 31, 2024 Monterrey 0-2 Guadalajara C…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.