Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 24, 2026 22:00

Tecos
PWR 35

Leones Negros UDG
PWR 47

Tecos
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Leones Negros UDG
PWR 47
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack46
100Defense51
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tecos
DLDLD
STABLE
Leones Negros …
LWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Tecosvs
0.84
Leones Negros …Goal Probability
Tecos
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Leones Negr…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Tecos-1
Gap#2
Leones Negr…
WR 40% 107 pts
WR 43% 111 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecos | 72 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 107 | 95 | 107 |
| Leones Negros… | 80 | 34 | 9 | 37 | 106 | 113 | 111 |
Tecos
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Tecos v Los Cab… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Tecos v UA Zaca… | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Tecos v Tigres … | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Tecos v Tritons… | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Tecos v Guerrer… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Tecos v Mineros… | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Tecos v Cimarro… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Tecos v Ensenada | 2-5 |
| Jan 23 | Tecos v Atlante… | 4-3 |
| Jan 17 | Tecos v Durango | 3-1 |
Leones Negros …
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Leones … v Mineros… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Leones … v Guerrer… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Leones … v Dorados | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Leones … v Mineros… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Leones … v Cimarro… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Leones … v CA La P… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Atlante… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Ensenada | 1-4 |
| Feb 21 | Leones … v Atlante… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Leones … v Durango | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 2-1 | Tecos |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Tecos | 2-1 | Leones Negros… |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Leones Negros… | 2-1 | Tecos |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Leones Negros… | 1-0 | Tecos |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Tecos | 4-0 | Leones Negros… |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Leones Negros… | 0-2 | Tecos |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Tecos | 0-3 | Leones Negros… |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Tecos | 1-1 | Leones Negros… |
| Oct 02, 2021 | Leones Negros… | 0-0 | Tecos |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Tecos | 2-3 | Leones Negros… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.