Paulista - A4 · Mar 25, 2026 18:00
Joseense
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Joseense
LDDDW
STABLE
Grêmio Sãocarl…
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Joseensevs
0.52
Grêmio Sãocarl…Goal Probability
Joseense
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Grêmio Sãoc…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (25%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Joseense-3
Gap#4
Grêmio Sãoc…
WR 50% 17 pts
WR 25% 18 pts
Joseense
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Joseense v Comerci… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Joseense v EC Leme… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Joseense v Barretos | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Joseense v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Joseense v Colorad… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Joseense v Taquari… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Joseense v AEA | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Joseense v Naciona… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Joseense v São Cae… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Joseense v Jabaqua… | 0-2 |
Grêmio Sãocarl…
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Grêmio … v Peneden… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Grêmio … v Taquari… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Grêmio … v Jabaqua… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Grêmio … v Vocem | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Grêmio … v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Grêmio … v Tanabi | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Grêmio … v Inter d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Grêmio … v Comerci… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Grêmio … v ECUS | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Grêmio Sãocarlense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.