Back Stats
Friendlies · Mar 26, 2026 13:00

Moldova
PWR 17
2-1
predicted

Lithuania
PWR 29
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Moldova to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
18Attack23
30Defense30
Goals/G
0.50.7
Conc/G
2.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moldova DDLLL
STABLE
Lithuania DLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Moldova
vs
0.96
Lithuania
Goal Probability
Moldova
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Lithuania
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 89% 11% OVER
1.5 64% 36% -
2.5 37% 63% -
3.5 18% 83% UNDER
4.5 7% 93% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#138
Moldova
-57
Gap
#81
Lithuania
WR 0% 0 pts WR 33% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Moldova2002140
Lithuania3111264
Moldova 4.0%
Oct 14 Moldova v Preston 1-1
Oct 11 Moldova v Norway 1-1
Oct 09 Moldova v AS Roma 2-1
Oct 08 Moldova v Belgium 1-0
Sep 05 Moldova v Iskra 0-4
Jun 06 Moldova v Scotland 2-0
Lithuania 6.0%
Nov 13 Lithuan… v Iskra 0-0
Nov 03 Lithuan… v Scotland 4-1
Oct 31 Lithuan… v England 0-1
Oct 28 Lithuan… v Sweden … 0-2
Oct 12 Lithuan… v Scotland 0-2
Oct 09 Lithuan… v England 2-1
Sep 07 Lithuan… v Netherl… 2-3
Sep 04 Lithuan… v Baltika 1-1
Jun 25 Lithuan… v Preston 1-2
Jun 10 Lithuan… v Denmark 5-0
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moldova struggling (3L in last 5)
Lithuania struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.